My Old Kentucky Home

Well...it's officially the First Saturday in May! Today is like Christmas, New Year's Eve and a birthday all rolled into one for the Pony Bologna crew.  We research, discuss, toss horses, add them back, discuss, do more research and ulitmately place our bets.  Just before the gates fly open the butterflies in our stomachs are churnning.  We were certainly disappointed when our favorite, ArchArchArch, drew post 1.  However, after even more research we aren't as devastated as we were on Wednesday.  While the 1-hole isn't ideal, we don't believe it to be the "death sentence" for AAA's chances that others do.  In our opinion, too many people have last year's post-time favorite Lookin At Lucky and his awful trip from post 1 in their minds.  But looking back at history there have been very few "real" contenders to break from the 1 since Ferdinand did it in 1986.  While Lucky was the post-time favorite, he was relatively unproven on dirt and was certainly anything but Lucky in his prep races leading up to last year's Derby.  We think that AAA has the ability, speed and toughness to withstand a trip from the 1-hole and as trainer Jinks Fires said, "it's still the shortest way around the track."

So without further ado we present the Pony Bologna 2011 Kentucky Derby picks.  Gregg will start things off by giving us his top 4 horses and one longshot play then Jeremy will lay out his Derby bets.

Gregg:

Short, sweet and to the point.  Here are my Top 5:

1.  ArchArchArch
2.  Brilliant Speed
8.  Dialed In
14. Shackleford
15. Midnight Interlude


Jeremy:

$20 ATB ($60)

1

$5 Ex P/W ($200)

1,2,15,19 / 1,2,3,7,8,12,13,14,15,17,19


$1 Tri P/W ($120)

1/ 2,7,15,19/ 2,3,7,8,11,12,13,14,15,17,19

2,7,15,19/ 1/ 2,3,7,8,11,12,13,14,15,17,19

2,7,15,19/ 2,3,7,8,11,12,13,14,15,17,19/ 1


$1 Super P/W ($48)

1,19/ 1,8,19/ 1,2,8,19/ 1,2,7,8,11,14,15,17,19

$1 Straight Super ($2)

5-7-20-11 (Today's Date)
1-8-15-2


TOTAL: $430

Good luck to everyone today.  Enjoy it.  It's one of the greatest days in sports.  We'll be back on Monday to recap the race and how we did.  Hopefully by then we'll be recovered from celebrating our big win!